Best NRFI Bets Today - Saturday, July 19

With two shaky arms taking the mound in Atlanta tonight, expect early scoring at Truist Park.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Jul 19, 2025 • 12:21 ET • 4 min read
Aaron Judge New York Yankees MLB
Photo By - Imagn Images. New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge (99) celebrates after hitting a home run.

The New York Yankees are an offensive juggernaut, and facing a pitcher who hasn't started since 2023 should lead to an early explosion of runs tonight.

Their showdown with the Braves headlines my MLB picks for Saturday as I break down the latest odds.

Here are my best free YRFI and NRFI bets for July 19.

Best NRFI/YRFI bets today

  • White Sox White Sox vs Pirates Pirates: NRFI
  • Angels Angels vs Phillies Phillies: YRFI
  • Yankees Yankees vs Braves Braves: YRFI

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NRFI/YRFI bets for July 19

White Sox at Pirates: NRFI (Play at Thrillzz)

The Chicago White Sox rank second-last in the majors in OPS (.645) while the Pittsburgh Pirates are dead-last at .639.

Chicago is averaging just 3.23 runs per game on the road and heads into pitcher-friendly PNC Park tonight. Meanwhile, the Pirates haven’t scored in the first inning this month and account for 1.92 runs per game overall.

This play is a clear fade of the two worst offenses in the bigs. 

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch
    SportsNet-PIT |  CHSN
  • Bet: NRFI

Angels vs Phillies: YRFI (Play at Thrillzz)

The Philadelphia Phillies are second in the majors in run first-inning rate at home (39.1%) while boasting an OPS of .784. They've been productive against lefties and will face Los Angeles Angels southpaw Yusei Kikuchi today. 

Kikuchi is putting together the best season of his career, pitching to a 3.11 ERA through 20 starts. That said, he's in the bottom 25th percentile in barrel rate and the bottom 10th percentile in average exit velocity, leading to an xERA of 4.31.

Meanwhile, the Angels are red-hot at the dish, ranking fourth in the majors in OPS (.799) while averaging 5.26 runs per game over the last 30 days. They'll face Taijuan Walker, who is the weak link in Philadelphia's rotation and has pitched to a 4.57 FIP since the middle of April.

  • Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCSP | FanDuel Sports Network West
  • Bet: YRFI

Yankees at Braves: YRFI (Play at Thrillzz)

The Atlanta Braves will send Joey Wentz to the hill for his first start since 2023, when he logged a 6.90 ERA across 19 starts. He has pitched to a 6.32 ERA with a 1.70 WHIP in 37 innings as a reliever this season.

Wentz will face an elite New York Yankees lineup that leads the majors in OPS (.790) and ranks second in run-first-inning rate (34%).

New York also has a mediocre starter of its own in Will Warren (4.63 ERA through 20 starts). He's been especially brutal in the first inning, posting a 7.20 ERA with an OBA of .309.

Although the Braves have underperformed offensively, they rank eighth in barrel rate and sixth in exit velocity, which indicates positive regression on the horizon.

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network South | YES
  • Bet: YRFI

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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