Boston @ Washington props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Roman Anthony has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Typically, hitters like Roman Anthony who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cade Cavalli.

When starting against a southpaw this year, Romy Gonzalez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time. Nationals Park projects as the #28 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Romy Gonzalez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Romy Gonzalez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Hitting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have a tough challenge today.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Cade Cavalli will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Wong today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.261) provides evidence that Connor Wong has had bad variance on his side this year with his .199 actual wOBA. With a .321 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong is ranked in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Jarren Duran's launch angle from last season's 9.4° to 12.4° this season. In the past week's worth of games, Jarren Duran's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Alex Call has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will bat from his bad side (0) today against Cade Cavalli Abraham Toro has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 89.1-mph over the last week. Abraham Toro's launch angle this year (16.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.1° angle last year.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. James Wood will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Brady House will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Brady House will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Nate Eaton has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Cade Cavalli will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nate Eaton in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Cade Cavalli will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Paul DeJong usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Marcelo Mayer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 19% on the season to 36.4% in the past week.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Bell has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph EV. Over the past week, Josh Bell's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Riley Adams has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .199 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck given the .085 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Hitting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Carlos Narvaez will not have the upper hand today. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 41.7% on the season to 61.5% in the last 7 days.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Cade Cavalli will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week, Wilyer Abreu's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph lately.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates David Hamilton's true offensive ability to be a .279, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .057 disparity between that figure and his actual .222 wOBA.

Keibert Ruiz has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.