Boston @ Washington picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-highest temperatures of the day at 89°.. Cade Cavalli will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcelo Mayer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 19% on the season to 36.4% in the past week.

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Cade Cavalli will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Romy Gonzalez in today's matchup.. Romy Gonzalez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. There has been a significant improvement in Jarren Duran's launch angle from last season's 9.4° to 12.4° this season.. In the past week's worth of games, Jarren Duran's 46.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will bat from his bad side (0) today against Cade Cavalli. Abraham Toro's launch angle this year (16.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.1° angle last year.. Over the last 14 days, Abraham Toro has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.8°.