Boston @ Washington picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Roman Anthony has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Typically, hitters like Roman Anthony who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cade Cavalli.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Cade Cavalli will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.

Paul DeJong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game.. Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Paul DeJong usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Hitting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have a tough challenge today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game.. Josh Bell has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph EV.. Over the past week, Josh Bell's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.6%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup.. Riley Adams has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Despite posting a .199 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Riley Adams has suffered from bad luck given the .085 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Roman Anthony has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Typically, hitters like Roman Anthony who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cade Cavalli.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Brady House will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup.. Brady House will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Marcelo Mayer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 19% on the season to 36.4% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of the day at 88°.. Cade Cavalli will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's matchup.