Detroit @ Cleveland picks
Progressive Field
DET vs CLE Picks
MLB Picks
Spread

Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Tarik Skubal struck out 13 batters in his last outing and will mow down a Guardians lineup that's posted a measly .588 OPS against him. With Cleveland starter Gavin Williams surrendering 10 earned runs over his last two starts, I'm all over Detroit cruising to victory in this AL Central clash.
Strikeouts Thrown

Tarik Skubal u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 7.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Tarik Skubal will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. In his previous GS, Tarik Skubal wasn't on when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather on the slate at 90°.
Total RBIs

Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 89°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Trey Sweeney o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Trey Sweeney will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 89°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Austin Hedges will have an edge in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brayan Rocchio o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Progressive Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather on the slate at 91°.
Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather on the slate at 91°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Jones o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Nolan Jones is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest weather on the slate at 90°.
Total Bases

Gleyber Torres o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 ballpark in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 89°.