Pittsburgh @ Seattle props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 52%. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 52% on the season to 58.3% over the past two weeks. Joey Bart has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .292 figure is deflated compared to his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cole Young will have the handedness advantage over Michael Burrows in today's matchup. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Cole Young's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 11.8%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Cole Young's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 93.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Oneil Cruz is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Ke'Bryan Hayes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Castillo. Ke'Bryan Hayes has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 7.5% to 10.8%.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Spencer Horwitz has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Spencer Horwitz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 14 days, Spencer Horwitz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Castillo. In notching a .324 BABIP this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa is ranked in the 79th percentile.

Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Henry Davis has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.73 ft/sec to 28.21 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .263 figure is a good deal lower than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Bryan Reynolds has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 95.1-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand today. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15.3% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the past 7 days. In the last week's worth of games, Dominic Canzone's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph in recent games.

Tommy Pham has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as Tommy Pham with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Castillo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Tommy Pham has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.6-mph. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, notching a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .037 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael Burrows. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage today. Benjamin Williamson has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.7% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last season's 94.2-mph figure.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Luke Raley has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 49.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today's game. J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph in recent games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#1-worst on the slate). Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.