Pittsburgh @ Seattle picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 6th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Oneil Cruz is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

This year, Jorge Polanco has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate.. Typically, batters like Jorge Polanco who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Michael Burrows.

Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Henry Davis has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.73 ft/sec to 28.21 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).. Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 17.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.3° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers.. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 6th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Oneil Cruz is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 52%.. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 52% on the season to 58.3% over the past two weeks.. Joey Bart has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 2.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 15.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Luke Raley has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 49.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.

Tommy Pham has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Hitters such as Tommy Pham with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Luis Castillo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Tommy Pham has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.6-mph.. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, notching a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .037 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for long-balls.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.