St. Louis @ Chicago props

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage over Seiya Suzuki in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Seiya Suzuki usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate today. Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Typically, batters like Kyle Tucker who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Miles Mikolas. In the past 7 days, Kyle Tucker's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 93.3 mph to 86 mph. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 23.6% to 19.8%.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand in today's game. Victor Scott II has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Victor Scott II has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days. Victor Scott II has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Shaw has been unlucky this year. His .274 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.

Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Carson Kelly will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. With a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly is positioned in the 87th percentile for hitting ability. Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Carson Kelly sports a .371 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Pedro Pages has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 88.8-mph.

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup. Alec Burleson has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Miles Mikolas. Ian Happ has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game. Nolan Gorman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94.6-mph in the past two weeks. Nolan Gorman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 47.1% on the season to 59.3% over the last 14 days.

Masyn Winn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masyn Winn is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. In the last week's worth of games, Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph lately.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Nico Hoerner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner is in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .283. Nico Hoerner has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.33 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Michael Busch's launch angle of late (32.3° over the last week) is considerably better than his 16.3° seasonal figure.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 17.6% on the season to 28.6% in the past week. Nolan Arenado has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 96.1-mph in the past two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Willson Contreras has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph.