San Diego @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. This season, Elias Diaz has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a significant increase over his 7.3° figure last year. Elias Diaz's speed has increased this season. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.88 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Xander Bogaerts has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.2% seasonal rate to 10.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Over the past two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph lately.

The #7 field in the game for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill today. In the past 7 days, Jackson Merrill's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 90.9 mph to 87 mph.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 48.9%.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's game. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Mick Abel in today's game. Gavin Sheets has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitters such as Johan Rojas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Pivetta who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas's launch angle this season (9.7°) is a significant increase over his 4.5° mark last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's game.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Trenton Brooks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mick Abel in today's matchup. Trenton Brooks has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 24.85 ft/sec to 25.97 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Nick Pivetta will hold the platoon advantage over Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 42% on the season to 10.5% in the past 7 days. Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .295 BA is quite a bit higher than his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Mick Abel throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a disadvantage today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today. In the past week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst park in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Mick Abel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Manny Machado today. Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12% seasonal rate has dropped off to 5.6% in the past 7 days.

The #7 field in the game for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph EV last year has fallen to 85.5-mph. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 85.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 80.7-mph over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. J.T. Realmuto will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last two weeks, J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph lately.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is forecasted to have the most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta today. Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.