NYM -130 o9.0
BAL +120 u9.0
CHC -111 o9.5
MIN +103 u9.5
NYM -159 o10.0
BAL +146 u10.0
MIA +149 o9.0
CIN -162 u9.0
SEA -114 o9.0
NYY +105 u9.0
TB -101 o9.5
BOS -107 u9.5
CLE -125 o8.5
CHW +115 u8.5
WAS +128 o9.0
STL -139 u9.0
ATL -144 o10.0
ATH +132 u10.0
TEX -110 o10.0
LAA +102 u10.0
AZ -114 o8.5
SD +105 u8.5

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Danny Jansen
D. Jansen
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Danny Jansen has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks. Danny Jansen's launch angle in recent games (27.9° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 24.1° seasonal figure.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Danny Jansen has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks. Danny Jansen's launch angle in recent games (27.9° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 24.1° seasonal figure.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Dylan Carlson
D. Carlson
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Dylan Carlson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 16.7%. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 16.9% on the season to 33.3% over the past 7 days. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 39.1% to 47%.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Dylan Carlson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 16.7%. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 16.9% on the season to 33.3% over the past 7 days. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 39.1% to 47%.

Gary Sanchez Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gary Sanchez
G. Sanchez
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90-mph average. There has been a significant improvement in Gary Sanchez's launch angle from last season's 15.8° to 19° this season. In the last week's worth of games, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 16.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°.

Gary Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90-mph average. There has been a significant improvement in Gary Sanchez's launch angle from last season's 15.8° to 19° this season. In the last week's worth of games, Gary Sanchez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 16.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 10.1°.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Yandy Diaz usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's game.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Yandy Diaz has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Yandy Diaz usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's game.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Junior Caminero will have a disadvantage today. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for pitching on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers. Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Junior Caminero will have a disadvantage today. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 40.8% to 49%.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 40.8% to 49%.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Over the past week, Taylor Walls's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.3% up to 9.1%. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 19.5%. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 19.5% on the season to 33.3% over the last 14 days. Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .267 mark is a good deal lower than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Over the past week, Taylor Walls's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.3% up to 9.1%. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 19.5%. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 19.5% on the season to 33.3% over the last 14 days. Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .267 mark is a good deal lower than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Over the past 7 days, Jose Caballero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 14.3%. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 51.8%. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Caballero's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.8%. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Jose Caballero has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Over the past 7 days, Jose Caballero's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 14.3%. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 51.8%. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Caballero's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.8%. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Jose Caballero has posted a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Ramon Laureano will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ramon Laureano has posted a .344 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Ramon Laureano has notched a .332 BABIP since the start of last season.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Ramon Laureano will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ramon Laureano has posted a .344 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Ramon Laureano has notched a .332 BABIP since the start of last season.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand today. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (25°) is considerably better than his 21.5° mark last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 25°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 33.1° mark over the last 14 days.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand today. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (25°) is considerably better than his 21.5° mark last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 25°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 33.1° mark over the last 14 days.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jordan Westburg
J. Westburg
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .222 figure is quite a bit lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jordan Westburg's 12.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .222 figure is quite a bit lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jordan Westburg's 12.2% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Jackson Holliday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Jackson Holliday hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Chandler Simpson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 52.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last week. With a .298 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Chandler Simpson finds himself in the 96th percentile.

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Chandler Simpson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Chandler Simpson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 52.7% on the season to 71.4% over the last week. With a .298 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Chandler Simpson finds himself in the 96th percentile.

Coby Mayo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Coby Mayo
C. Mayo
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Coby Mayo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Coby Mayo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Coby Mayo's launch angle in recent games (34.8° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 21° seasonal mark. Coby Mayo's quickness has increased this year. His 27.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.43 ft/sec now. Coby Mayo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .197 mark is quite a bit lower than his .251 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Coby Mayo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Coby Mayo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Coby Mayo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Coby Mayo's launch angle in recent games (34.8° in the last week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 21° seasonal mark. Coby Mayo's quickness has increased this year. His 27.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.43 ft/sec now. Coby Mayo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .197 mark is quite a bit lower than his .251 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Colton Cowser
C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 13.3% on the season to 26.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. By putting up a .330 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser is ranked in the 76th percentile.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 13.3% on the season to 26.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games. By putting up a .330 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser is ranked in the 76th percentile.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had bad variance on his side given the .027 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had bad variance on his side given the .027 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonathan Aranda
J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Jonathan Aranda's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 55.7% on the season to 66.7% in the past week. This year, Jonathan Aranda has an average exit velocity of 92.7 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 92nd percentile.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jonathan Aranda will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Jonathan Aranda's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 55.7% on the season to 66.7% in the past week. This year, Jonathan Aranda has an average exit velocity of 92.7 mph, which ranks among the elite in the league at the 92nd percentile.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92-mph now compared to just 89.8-mph then.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Brandon Lowe's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92-mph now compared to just 89.8-mph then.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jake Mangum's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. By putting up a .310 batting average this year, Jake Mangum is positioned in the 97th percentile.

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jake Mangum's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. By putting up a .310 batting average this year, Jake Mangum is positioned in the 97th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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