Seattle @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
SEA vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
Happ has homered in each of the past two games, and that stretch of strong hitting is likely to continue against Emerson Hancock. Hancock takes the mound for Seattle and has yet to establish consistency at the major league level. Through 27 career starts, he has a 4.60 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown


Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
Horton ranks in the top half of the league in expected ERA (xERA), walk rate, and ground-ball rate. Specifically, he’s worth targeting in the strikeout market, as he ranks in the 67th percentile in chase rate and 66th percentile in whiff rate.
Earned Runs Allowed


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In the majors, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (-110)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 92°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (-115)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Luke Raley o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.. Luke Raley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luke Raley has experienced some negative variance this year. His .309 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .374.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (-120)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as MLB's 5th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Outs Recorded

Cade Horton u14.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 13.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cade Horton to throw 75 pitches today (4th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Cade Horton has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.4% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.. The 9.1% Barrel% of the Seattle Mariners grades them out as the #10 offense in MLB this year by this metric.