Atlanta @ Miami props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Eury Perez will have the handedness advantage over Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game.

Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Nick Allen usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez. Nick Allen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 86.7-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.3°, Nick Allen has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 28.8° angle in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Connor Norby's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.8-mph recently. Connor Norby's launch angle of late (30° in the past week's worth of games) is significantly better than his 15.6° seasonal angle. Connor Norby has been unlucky this year, putting up a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .024 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage today. Michael Harris II may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Michael Harris II generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Alex Verdugo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Alex Verdugo has experienced some negative variance this year. His .280 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Liam Hicks will have the upper hand today. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's game. Eric Wagaman has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 11.8% in the past week's worth of games.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.

Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez today. Drake Baldwin is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Hitters such as Drake Baldwin with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eury Perez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Drake Baldwin has notched a .287 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Austin Riley has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.3° figure in the past week's worth of games. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, notching a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .030 disparity.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.2° angle over the past week. Posting a .362 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for hitting ability. Marcell Ozuna has compiled a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Ozzie Albies has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 89.3-mph over the last week. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.7°) is significantly better than his 14.2° angle last year. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has had some very poor luck given the .033 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Grant Holmes. Xavier Edwards will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Xavier Edwards's ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 85th percentile.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Agustin Ramirez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last week, Agustin Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.9% up to 14.3%. Agustin Ramirez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The Barrel% of Matt Olson has significantly improved, with an increase from 12.5% last year to 18.2% this year.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past week, Dane Myers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph recently. Dane Myers has notched a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 18.2% this season. Based on Statcast metrics, Kyle Stowers is in the 86th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .352.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Otto Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Otto Lopez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 91.7-mph.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.