Atlanta @ Miami picks

This season, Holmes ranks in the 58th percentile in chase rate, 73rd percentile in whiff rate, and 84th percentile in strikeout rate. He's recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his past four starts, including a 15-strikeout performance in his most recent outing.

Ozzie Albies has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 89.3-mph over the last week.. Ozzie Albies's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.7°) is significantly better than his 14.2° angle last year.. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ozzie Albies has had some very poor luck given the .033 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Grant Holmes in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.. The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 18.2% this season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.2° angle over the past week.. Posting a .362 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for hitting ability.. With a 23.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Marcell Ozuna has performed in the 78th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage today.. Michael Harris II may have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Michael Harris II generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Alex Verdugo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's matchup.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Alex Verdugo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average.. In terms of his home runs, Alex Verdugo has had bad variance on his side this year. His 0.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.8.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.6°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24.2° angle over the past week.. Posting a .362 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 91st percentile for hitting ability.. With a 23.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Marcell Ozuna has performed in the 78th percentile for power.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jesus Sanchez has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week.