LIVE Bottom 6th Sep 10
MIL 3 -119 o7.0
TEX 5 +110 u7.0
LIVE Top 4th Sep 10
BOS 2 -108 o10.5
ATH 2 -100 u10.5
LIVE Bottom 3rd Sep 10
AZ 4 +117 o8.5
SF 0 -127 u8.5
LIVE Top 3rd Sep 10
MIN 1 -104 o9.0
LAA 0 -104 u9.0
PIT -147 o7.0
BAL +136 u7.0
KC -103 o8.0
CLE -105 u8.0
WAS +137 o8.5
MIA -149 u8.5
NYM +136 o7.5
PHI -148 u7.5
DET +150 o8.0
NYY -164 u8.0
HOU +133 o9.0
TOR -145 u9.0
CHC +153 o8.0
ATL -167 u8.0
TB -132 o8.5
CHW +122 u8.5
CIN +126 o7.5
SD -137 u7.5
STL +182 o7.5
SEA -200 u7.5
COL +280 o8.5
LAD -318 u8.5

New York @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brett Baty
B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Brandon Nimmo
B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 ballpark in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo today. Brandon Nimmo has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week. Brandon Nimmo's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91.8-mph seasonal average has fallen to 79.6-mph in the past week.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 ballpark in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo today. Brandon Nimmo has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week. Brandon Nimmo's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 91.8-mph seasonal average has fallen to 79.6-mph in the past week.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 12°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.6°) over the past 14 days. Trea Turner has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .300 BA is inflated compared to his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough matchup today. Compared to his seasonal angle of 12°, Trea Turner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.6°) over the past 14 days. Trea Turner has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .300 BA is inflated compared to his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ronny Mauricio Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Ronny Mauricio
R. Mauricio
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Mick Abel in this game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ronny Mauricio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.5% up to 14.3%.

Ronny Mauricio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Mick Abel in this game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ronny Mauricio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.5% up to 14.3%.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Nick Castellanos meets a tough challenge today. Sporting a 3.73 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 24th percentile.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Batting from the same side that Griffin Canning throws from, Nick Castellanos meets a tough challenge today. Sporting a 3.73 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 24th percentile.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Max Kepler is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's matchup. Max Kepler is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Max Kepler is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's matchup. Max Kepler is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Juan Soto
J. Soto
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Mick Abel today.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Mick Abel today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Griffin Canning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Griffin Canning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Lindor
F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 ballpark in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Mick Abel Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16.6% to 13.6%.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 ballpark in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Mick Abel Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 16.6% to 13.6%.

Otto Kemp Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Otto Kemp
O. Kemp
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Otto Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Pete Alonso
P. Alonso
first base 1B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Pete Alonso

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Francisco Alvarez
F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Canning today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Canning today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jeff McNeil
J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Mick Abel in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Mick Abel in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. Brandon Marsh is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning today. Brandon Marsh is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jared Young Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Jared Young
J. Young
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jared Young will have the handedness advantage against Mick Abel in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Jared Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters. Jared Young will have the handedness advantage against Mick Abel in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team today.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

Starling Marte
S. Marte
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Starling Marte has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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