New York @ Philadelphia picks

The Philadelphia Phillies used a six-run seventh inning on Friday night for its third straight win and eighth victory in its last nine games. On the flip side, it was the seventh straight loss for New York as the Mets' struggles continued. They were swept at home by the Rays, lost all three in Atlanta, and dropped the opener in Philadelphia last night. The Phillies promoted prospect Mick Abel earlier this season, and he's looked like he belongs through four starts. The righthander is 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA (5 ER in 20.1 IP) and 1.03 WHIP, and he's held the opposition to one run or fewer in three of his four starts thus far. The Mets’ bats have gone cold recently, with seven runs in their last four games, and Abel won't make it easy on them on Saturday night.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Mick Abel today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph EV.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 7th-best of the day for batters.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand today.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Griffin Canning today.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today's matchup.. Max Kepler is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for batters.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.