Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • San Diego

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Dodger Stadium
The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. Tyler Wade will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Dreyer in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Tyler Wade tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Dreyer. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Tyler Wade has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 86.6-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 82.8-mph mark.
The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Dreyer throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Brandon Lockridge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Brandon Lockridge are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Dreyer. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.9 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is quite quick.
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Dreyer today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. In the past 7 days, Gavin Sheets's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 17.6%. In comparison to his 87.8-mph average last year, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.9 mph.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. Batting from the opposite that Jack Dreyer throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. In the past 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 25.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.8°.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Teoscar Hernandez has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.7% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week's worth of games. Over the last two weeks, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Xander Bogaerts has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV.
Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 39%. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .428 figure is a good deal higher than his .386 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. Manny Machado's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (10.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 6.4° mark last year.
Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 39%. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Freddie Freeman's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.4-mph in the last week's worth of games. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has had some very good luck this year. His .401 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Iglesias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Dreyer. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Iglesias's true offensive skill to be a .282, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .023 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .259 wOBA. Sporting a .331 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jose Iglesias finds himself in the 78th percentile.
The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage in today's game. Michael Conforto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 40.6% to 45.9%. Michael Conforto has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .170 BA is considerably lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mookie Betts has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6% seasonal rate to 14.6% over the last two weeks.
Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 40.9% on the season to 58.3% over the last two weeks. Utilizing Statcast data, Max Muncy grades out in the 87th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .351. Placing in the 75th percentile, Max Muncy sports a .344 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 39%. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's game. From last season to this one, Luis Arraez's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 87.9 mph to 85.1 mph. Luis Arraez's launch angle recently (5.1° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 13° seasonal angle. Over the last week, Luis Arraez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power).
Tommy Edman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tommy Edman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Tommy Edman has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph figure. In the last 7 days, Tommy Edman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 103.3-mph of late. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.282) implies that Tommy Edman has had bad variance on his side this year with his .247 actual batting average.
Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 39%. Jack Dreyer will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the past week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.2°, Fernando Tatis Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.4°) over the past 14 days.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium. Andy Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Andy Pages has recorded a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Based on Statcast data, Andy Pages grades out in the 92nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .289.