BAL +133 o9.0
ATL -145 u9.0
BOS -241 o8.5
WAS +217 u8.5
CIN +209 o8.5
PHI -231 u8.5
LAA +171 o9.5
TOR -187 u9.5
DET -215 o7.5
CLE +195 u7.5
MIL -114 o8.0
MIA +105 u8.0
NYY -190 o9.0
NYM +173 u9.0
TB +102 o8.0
MIN -110 u8.0
CHW -105 o11.0
COL -103 u11.0
PIT -101 o6.5
SEA -107 u6.5
HOU +162 o9.0
LAD -177 u9.0
KC +132 o9.5
AZ -144 u9.5
STL +179 o7.5
CHC -197 u7.5
TEX +115 o8.5
SD -135 u8.5
SF +103 o10.0
ATH -112 u10.0

Minnesota @ Houston props

Daikin Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Jonah Bride
J. Bride
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonah Bride will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's matchup. Jonah Bride pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Jonah Bride

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jonah Bride will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's matchup. Jonah Bride pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Brooks Lee has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 7 days. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 15.6% to 18.8%.

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Brooks Lee has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 7 days. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 15.6% to 18.8%.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan Jeffers has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph mark. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 50.7% on the season to 100% in the last week's worth of games.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan Jeffers has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph mark. Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 50.7% on the season to 100% in the last week's worth of games.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge today. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.5°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37.5° angle in the past week.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge today. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.5°, Harrison Bader has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 37.5° angle in the past week.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Byron Buxton will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Byron Buxton usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Walter.

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Byron Buxton will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Byron Buxton usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Walter.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Wallner ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Wallner tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Walter. Matt Wallner has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 20.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 14 days. Matt Wallner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 92.8-mph figure.

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Wallner ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Wallner tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Walter. Matt Wallner has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 20.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 14 days. Matt Wallner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 92.8-mph figure.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro
W. Castro
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Willi Castro's 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%. Willi Castro has notched a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Willi Castro's 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%. Willi Castro has notched a .358 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

Jeremy Pena
J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jeremy Pena's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Bats such as Jeremy Pena with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Jeremy Pena's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Bats such as Jeremy Pena with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Carlos Correa
C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carlos Correa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Carlos Correa will have the upper hand in today's game. Carlos Correa has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Carlos Correa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Carlos Correa will have the upper hand in today's game. Carlos Correa has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Ty France will have an advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Ty France's 62.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Ty France will have an advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Ty France's 62.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Christian Vazquez
C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Christian Vazquez will have the upper hand today. Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 BA is deflated compared to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Christian Vazquez will have the upper hand today. Christian Vazquez has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 BA is deflated compared to his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Houston

Christian Walker
C. Walker
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Christian Walker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week. Christian Walker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Christian Walker has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last week. Christian Walker has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston

Victor Caratini
V. Caratini
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Victor Caratini's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (13.1°) is considerably higher than his 7.5° figure last season. In the past 7 days, Victor Caratini's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

Victor Caratini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard. Victor Caratini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Victor Caratini's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (13.1°) is considerably higher than his 7.5° figure last season. In the past 7 days, Victor Caratini's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston

Mauricio Dubon
M. Dubon
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's game. Mauricio Dubon has recorded a .263 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Mauricio Dubon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's game. Mauricio Dubon has recorded a .263 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

Jose Altuve
J. Altuve
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 79th percentile, Jose Altuve has notched a .276 batting average this year.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 79th percentile, Jose Altuve has notched a .276 batting average this year.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

Jake Meyers
J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jake Meyers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 12.9% over the past two weeks. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 44.4% to 51.7%.

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jake Meyers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (90% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Jake Meyers will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jake Meyers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 12.9% over the past two weeks. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 44.4% to 51.7%.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Yainer Diaz
Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 20th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 28.6% in the past 7 days.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz as the 20th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 28.6% in the past 7 days.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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