New York @ Boston props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 95.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Extreme flyball bats like Austin Wells are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.5°) is significantly better than his 16.9° figure last season. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 43.8% on the season to 56.5% in the past two weeks.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Considering Ryan Yarbrough's large platoon split, Jarren Duran will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 89.3-mph in the past 7 days. Jarren Duran's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 44.4% on the season to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games.

Jasson Dominguez's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Jasson Dominguez has compiled a .313 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Rob Refsnyder will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough today... and even better, Yarbrough has a large platoon split.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Aaron Judge will have an advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Cody Bellinger are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Roman Anthony is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Roman Anthony has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. Roman Anthony has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Roman Anthony with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Yarbrough who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ben Rice has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 90-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Kristian Campbell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough today... and the cherry on top, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Kristian Campbell has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Kristian Campbell tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Yarbrough.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Yarbrough today... and even more favorably, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Romy Gonzalez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Anthony Volpe's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an edge today. Anthony Volpe has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough in today's game... and even better, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Ryan Yarbrough... and even better, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Abraham Toro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Abraham Toro will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Trent Grisham has notched a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 85th percentile. Trent Grisham has displayed impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 80th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Yarbrough in today's game... and even better, Yarbrough has a large platoon split. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Ryan Yarbrough's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Carlos Narvaez has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. DJ LeMahieu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 60.4%. In terms of plate discipline, DJ LeMahieu's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.7 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

The #4 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Oswald Peraza will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Oswald Peraza pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.309) may lead us to conclude that Oswald Peraza has experienced some negative variance this year with his .248 actual wOBA. Oswald Peraza is notably toolsy, checking in at the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.75 ft/sec this year.