New York @ Boston picks

Toro enters this game with a streak of three consecutive games with at least one strikeout, one short of his season-high. However, this streak is unlikely to extend to four games, a mark he hasn't reached since 2022. The pitchers he faced in those games—two high-strikeout right-handers with K rates above 25%—relied heavily on sliders, a pitch Toro occasionally chases. Things should be much easier tonight against a very different hurler.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Aaron Judge will have an advantage in today's game.. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Rafael Devers has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ben Rice has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 90-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Romy Gonzalez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Yarbrough today... and even more favorably, Yarbrough has a large platoon split.. Romy Gonzalez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 95.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Aaron Judge will have an advantage in today's game.. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Ben Rice has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 90-mph average.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Aaron Judge will have an advantage in today's game.. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Roman Anthony is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Roman Anthony has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.. Roman Anthony has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.. Bats such as Roman Anthony with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Yarbrough who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.