Los Angeles @ San Diego picks
PETCO Park
LAD vs SD Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Manny Machado crushes lefties (1.024 OPS). If Machado doesn’t get to Justin Wrobleski, the Padres slugger meets a Dodgers bullpen yielding 52 earned runs with a 29th-best 4.24 xFIP across the last 14 days. Machado has hit safely in eight consecutive games with 2+ total bases in six straight.
Total Bases


Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
While Shohei Ohtani hits well against both sides, his power primarily comes against right-handed pitching, where he slugs .671 (compared to .543 against lefties). He matches up well against the Padres' Randy Vasquez.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Casparius today.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week's worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently.
Total RBIs

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #6 park in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #6 park in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. Gavin Sheets will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 18th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The #6 park in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game.. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ben Casparius throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 47.3% on the season to 52.6% over the last week.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Martin Maldonado o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Martin Maldonado will have the handedness advantage against Ben Casparius in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.
Total Bases

Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-best park in the majors for righty home runs.. Among all parks, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. In the last week's worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently.
LAD vs SD Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks68% picking LA Dodgers vs San Diego to go Over
Total PicksLAD 337, SD 158
Total
Over
Under