Atlanta @ San Francisco props

This game is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Landen Roupp will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Riley in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley today. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 18.4% to 15.4%. Austin Riley has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 20th percentile with a 3.93 K/BB rate.

This game is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Ronald Acuna Jr. has a tough challenge in today's game. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Casey Schmitt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Casey Schmitt's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 70%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Landen Roupp in today's game. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alex Verdugo has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. In the last week, Alex Verdugo's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp. In the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 92.5-mph lately. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ozzie Albies's true offensive ability to be a .321, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .293 wOBA.

Daniel Johnson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Daniel Johnson will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Daniel Johnson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Spencer Strider. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Patrick Bailey has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks. Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.

When estimating his batting average ability, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 19th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage today. Jung Hoo Lee will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. In the last week's worth of games, Marcell Ozuna's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 28.6%. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.4° figure in the last week.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Nick Allen has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Nick Allen has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph to 94.2-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Sean Murphy's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.4% to 19.2%. Since the start of last season, Sean Murphy's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 91st percentile at 95.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyler Fitzgerald has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 85.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 82.8-mph average. Tyler Fitzgerald's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 24% in the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's game. Matt Olson may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.

Matt Chapman projects as the 20th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Matt Chapman's launch angle this season (20.3°) is significantly higher than his 16.1° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today's game.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand today. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20.5% rate since the start of last season).

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Wilmer Flores will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Michael Harris II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Andrew Knizner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Andrew Knizner has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .169 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265. Using Statcast metrics, Andrew Knizner grades out in the 79th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .260.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Strider today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Mike Yastrzemski will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Mike Yastrzemski has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 30.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.2°.