Atlanta @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
ATL vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
Total Runs Scored


Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Ramos has scored a run in three straight outings and eight of his last 11 contests — a trend that I think should hold this afternoon in the series finale vs. Atlanta. The outfielder has been San Francisco’s most consistent bat this season, leading the team with a .347 average and .407 on-base percentage in May while still hitting .321 through the first week of June.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. In the last week's worth of games, Marcell Ozuna's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 28.6%.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.4° figure in the last week.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Landen Roupp.. In the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.5-mph over the course of the season to 92.5-mph lately.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ozzie Albies's true offensive ability to be a .321, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .293 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.6-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Spencer Strider o16.5 Outs Recorded (+116)
Projection 17.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Spencer Strider's overall pitching ability grades out in the 94th percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB right now.. The San Francisco Giants projected batting order projects as the 2nd-weakest of the day in terms of overall batting ability.. This game is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Spencer Strider will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters in today's game.. Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #28 HR venue in the majors today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Casey Schmitt o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Casey Schmitt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Over the last 7 days, Casey Schmitt's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 70%.. In notching a 21.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Casey Schmitt grades out in the 76th percentile for power.. In notching a .285 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt grades out in the 83rd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's game.. The Barrel% of Matt Olson has significantly improved, with an increase from 12.5% last year to 17.9% this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Patrick Bailey o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Spencer Strider.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Patrick Bailey will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Patrick Bailey has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks.. Patrick Bailey has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Andrew Knizner o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Andrew Knizner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Andrew Knizner has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .169 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265.. Using Statcast metrics, Andrew Knizner grades out in the 79th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .260.
Total Bases

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. In the last week's worth of games, Marcell Ozuna's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 28.6%.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Marcell Ozuna has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.4° figure in the last week.