San Diego @ Milwaukee picks

Starting on the mound will be a crafty veteran in Jose Quintana for Milwaukee and Stephen Kolek, who is enjoying a nice breakout season as a starter, for San Diego. Quintana is 4-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in seven starts this season. He's held the opposition to two earned runs or fewer in six of those outings. The Padres turned Kolek into a starting pitcher after being used out of the bullpen last season. The 28-year-old right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in six starts. He settled down last start with 5.2 shutout innings against the Giants after allowing multiple ER in his three previous outings. Neither team is scoring too much right now, and we have competent arms on both sides. Look for these teams’ Under trends to continue on Saturday.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Fernando Tatis Jr. has experienced some negative variance given the .034 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.

Manny Machado's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Manny Machado's launch angle this season (16°) is a considerable increase over his 12.5° angle last year.

Hitters such as Rhys Hoskins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Stephen Kolek who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Rhys Hoskins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Over the past two weeks, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 28.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°.. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 37.9% to 44.4%.

Christian Yelich's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's game.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. William Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Fernando Tatis Jr. has experienced some negative variance given the .034 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.

Hitters such as Rhys Hoskins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Stephen Kolek who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Rhys Hoskins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Over the past two weeks, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 28.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.9°.. Rhys Hoskins's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 37.9% to 44.4%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Fernando Tatis Jr. has experienced some negative variance given the .034 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 39.6% on the season to 57.1% in the last week.. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .242 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.. With a 1.75 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jake Cronenworth has shown favorable plate discipline, placing in the 86th percentile.