New York @ Colorado props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.305) provides evidence that Brenton Doyle has experienced some negative variance this year with his .254 actual wOBA.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Starling Marte has been pinch hit for 21% of the time. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Because of Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Starling Marte will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Starling Marte tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Carson Palmquist. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Starling Marte in today's matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage today. Sam Hilliard has displayed some good exit velocity statistics lately, averaging 104.1-mph on his flyballs over the last week. Sam Hilliard has notched a .335 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile.

Mickey Moniak has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.8-mph.

Ronny Mauricio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Carson Palmquist... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Palmquist's large platoon split. The standard deviation of Ronny Mauricio's launch angle has been very consistent lately (48.4° over the past week), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's game. Despite posting a .331 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeff McNeil has had some very good luck given the .028 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303. Jeff McNeil has recorded a .259 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 22nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Clay Holmes will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Goodman today. As it relates to his batting average, Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck this year. His .282 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .213. Hunter Goodman has displayed bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 12th percentile with a 4.84 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Torrens has been unlucky this year. His .321 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .375. Luis Torrens's 12.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Torrens's 91.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in the league since the start of last season: 90th percentile. Luis Torrens ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.1% rate since the start of last season).

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Pete Alonso will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's game... and moreover, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Despite posting a .412 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Alonso has had positive variance on his side given the .046 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .366.

Tyrone Taylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.7-mph EV. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year. His .278 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Kyle Farmer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Kyle Farmer has experienced some negative variance this year. His .230 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Freeman will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyler Freeman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94-mph over the last 7 days. Compared to last year, Tyler Freeman has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.9% to 48% this season. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Tyler Freeman's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's game. Ryan McMahon has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last season's 92-mph figure. In terms of his batting average, Ryan McMahon has had bad variance on his side this year. His .202 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .227.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jordan Beck will hold that advantage today. Jordan Beck has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last season to 14.6% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 21st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the least humid conditions on the slate at 23%. Batting from the same side that Clay Holmes throws from, Thairo Estrada will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ranked in the 9th percentile, Thairo Estrada's average exit velocity of 86.1 mph ranks among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season. Thairo Estrada grades out in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.9% rate since the start of last season).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ryan Ritter will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. In the past two weeks, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Francisco Lindor has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.6° mark over the past two weeks. By putting up a .374 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Lindor grades out in the 90th percentile.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Juan Soto will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today. Juan Soto will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Juan Soto has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 14.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 14 days.

Because of Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Brett Baty will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.5% rate last year to 14.4% this year. Brett Baty's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 11.8% to 19.6%. Brett Baty's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 19.6% on the season to 26.9% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Carson Palmquist will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Palmquist's large platoon split. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Brandon Nimmo has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.8-mph EV.

Keston Hiura will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jared Young has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.