San Diego @ San Francisco Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Martin Maldonado ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Martin Maldonado is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game. 47% of the time that Martin Maldonado has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been pulled from the game early. The weather report projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Martin Maldonado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray today. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

Daniel Johnson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Daniel Johnson will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Daniel Johnson will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Daniel Johnson has an average exit velocity of 100.3 mph, which ranks among the best in the league at the 100th percentile.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph mark.

This year, Luis Arraez has been pulled from the game early in 10% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler. The weather report projects the 3rd-best pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Luis Arraez will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph EV last season has dropped off to 84.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an edge today. Jose Iglesias has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Bats such as Jose Iglesias with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robbie Ray who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today. In the past 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.9-mph lately. As it relates to his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .241 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .273.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .290 figure is a fair amount lower than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Brandon Lockridge will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Brandon Lockridge generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Manny Machado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 18th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Jackson Merrill's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 45.7% to 52.9%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Dominic Smith will have an edge in today's game. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dominic Smith's 10.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Dominic Smith and his 20.1% rank in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Chapman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Matt Chapman has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 94.5-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jung Hoo Lee will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Jung Hoo Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Wilmer Flores will hold that advantage in today's game. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 43.6% on the season to 54.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Tyler Fitzgerald will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Tyler Fitzgerald has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 88.2-mph. In the past week, Tyler Fitzgerald's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Heliot Ramos has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Willy Adames will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Last year, Willy Adames had an average launch angle of 22.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 26.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jerar Encarnacion has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jerar Encarnacion will hold that advantage in today's game. Jerar Encarnacion has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .287 rate is deflated compared to his .345 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Andrew Knizner has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.260) provides evidence that Andrew Knizner has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .167 actual batting average. Grading out in the 100th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Andrew Knizner demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

Mike Yastrzemski has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.