Cleveland @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium projects as the #27 park in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Typically, hitters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Clarke Schmidt. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) suggests that Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year with his .327 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Luis Ortiz today... and the cherry on top, Ortiz has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 10% rate last year to 15.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Gabriel Arias has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Gabriel Arias are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Gabriel Arias has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Trent Grisham will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Grading out in the 89th percentile, Trent Grisham sits with a .370 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage today. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Kyle Manzardo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 17.1% to 20.6%.

Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Austin Wells usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Ortiz. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last season's 88.4-mph EV. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (20.3°) is considerably better than his 16.9° mark last year.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Steven Kwan's launch angle lately (15.4° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 11.4° seasonal mark.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Considering Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Cody Bellinger will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Cody Bellinger usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Ortiz.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.25 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 93rd percentile.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Ortiz. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 24.1% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Daniel Schneemann generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Daniel Schneemann has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph EV. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14.3% to 19.8%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Ben Rice will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Paul Goldschmidt's 54.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.7%. Paul Goldschmidt and his 15.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 81st percentile, among the highest in the league this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Nolan Jones has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94.4-mph figure. Despite posting a .270 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nolan Jones has suffered from bad luck given the .041 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees. Bo Naylor's launch angle this season (25.6°) is a significant increase over his 19.5° angle last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 25.6°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.9° angle over the last 14 days.

DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 88.5-mph mark. Over the last week, DJ LeMahieu's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 41.9% to 55.9%.