CHC -120 o8.5
CIN +100 u8.5
ATH -115 o8.5
PIT -105 u8.5
ATL +100 o9.0
DET -120 u9.0
NYY -120 o9.0
BAL +100 u9.0
WAS +175 o8.5
NYM -210 u8.5
BOS -130 o7.0
TB +110 u7.0
TOR -130 o9.0
KC +110 u9.0
SD -185 o8.0
CHW +155 u8.0
MIA +125 o8.0
TEX -150 u8.0
SEA -110 o7.5
HOU -110 u7.5
CLE +100 o8.0
MIN -120 u8.0
LAA -120 o12.0
COL +100 u12.0
MIL -120 o7.5
STL +100 u7.5
PHI +105 o9.5
AZ -125 u9.5
SF +145 o8.5
LAD -170 u8.5

San Diego @ San Francisco Picks & Props

SD vs SF Picks

MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Stephen Kolek logo Stephen Kolek o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Kolek’s ERA has ballooned to 7.71 while giving up a .300 batting average. Kolek just doesn’t have a ton of swing-and-miss in his game at this point and is getting hit hard as a result. He ranks in the Bottom 2% in both average exit velocity and hard-hit rate. That also means not a ton of strikeouts, ranking in the 27th percentile. Now, the Giants aren’t exactly world beaters at the plate, but they have been much better when playing in front of the home crowd at Oracle Park. San Francisco ranks 10th in batting average, 11th in OPS, and 13th in wRC+ when playing at home this season. I like the Giants' chances of extending Kolek’s slump and tagging him with a few runs in tonight’s matchup.  Give me Over 2.5 earned runs allowed for Kolek, something he has done in three straight starts.

Total Bases
Manny Machado logo Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Machado has a 13-for-35 career record against the San Francisco Giants righty, with a homer, a double, and five RBIs. Coming off an impressive May where he posted a .340 batting average and a .954 OPS, Machado has served up 1+ hit in eight of his past nine games. He’s made good contact on his travels this year, notching 34 of his 65 hits on the road, and I’m banking on that trumping Webb’s steady 2.82 ERA. Peeling back the numbers a little, Webb has given up 17 hits and nine runs across his last two outings, so that the early-season freshness may be wearing off. If he’s short of his best again here, the San Diego Padres have the bats to take advantage. Machado stands out as the danger man, and I love this price for 2+ bases.

Total Home Runs
Manny Machado logo Manny Machado o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The San Diego Padres are also rolling, with Manny Machado having lots of success at the plate. The veteran is hitting .308, and although he’s only smacked seven bombs, tonight’s matchup heavily plays in his favor. The Padres begin an important NL West series with the San Francisco Giants in the Bay Area, and Logan Webb gets the call for the hosts. Machado has terrorized him over the years, going 13 for 35 (.371) with one home run. Machado just went deep on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he clubbed three long balls last season against the Giants as well. Machado could stay hot tonight.

Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the game's 9th-best home run hitter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
Total RBIs
Wilmer Flores logo
Wilmer Flores o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme groundball bats like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball batters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup.. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the game's 9th-best home run hitter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
Outs Recorded
Stephen Kolek logo
Stephen Kolek u17.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Projection 15.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The San Francisco Giants projected lineup projects as the 5th-strongest of the day in terms of overall batting skill.. The San Francisco Giants have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for batting average.. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the game's 9th-best home run hitter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball batters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
LaMonte Wade Jr. logo
LaMonte Wade Jr. o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup.. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like LaMonte Wade Jr. tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Wilmer Flores logo
Wilmer Flores o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Extreme groundball bats like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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SD vs SF Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking San Francisco

38%
62%

Total PicksSD 331, SF 545

Moneyline
SD
SF
Moneyline

SD vs SF Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this year (6.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.7° angle last season.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this year (6.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.7° angle last season.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has been lucky this year, notching a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .030 difference.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill has been lucky this year, notching a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .030 difference.

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jung Hoo Lee
J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Jung Hoo Lee's 4.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 19th percentile this year. Jung Hoo Lee's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 105.4 mph this year, grading out in the 4th percentile.

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Jung Hoo Lee's 4.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 19th percentile this year. Jung Hoo Lee's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 105.4 mph this year, grading out in the 4th percentile.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

LaMonte Wade Jr.
L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like LaMonte Wade Jr. tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like LaMonte Wade Jr. tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Matt Chapman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Heliot Ramos
H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Stephen Kolek will hold the platoon advantage over Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. In terms of his batting average, Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year. His .292 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Stephen Kolek will hold the platoon advantage over Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. In terms of his batting average, Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year. His .292 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Mike Yastrzemski
M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's game.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's game.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 84.6-mph. Luis Arraez's 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 87.9-mph EV last season has decreased to 84.6-mph. Luis Arraez's 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Wilmer Flores
W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme groundball bats like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme groundball bats like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek. Wilmer Flores will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme flyball batters like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Stephen Kolek. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.

Tyler Wade Total Hits Props • San Diego

Tyler Wade
T. Wade
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Tyler Wade will have an advantage in today's game. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Wade has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Tyler Wade

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Tyler Wade will have an advantage in today's game. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Wade has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Stephen Kolek. Patrick Bailey will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Stephen Kolek. Patrick Bailey will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Tyler Fitzgerald
T. Fitzgerald
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Tyler Fitzgerald will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 100th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald sports a .371 BABIP since the start of last season.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Tyler Fitzgerald will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 100th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald sports a .371 BABIP since the start of last season.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Manny Machado's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Manny Machado's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • San Diego

Elias Diaz
E. Diaz
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (16.4°) is a considerable increase over his 7.3° figure last year.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (16.4°) is a considerable increase over his 7.3° figure last year.

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jose Iglesias
J. Iglesias
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jose Iglesias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today.

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jose Iglesias has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 12th-strongest out of every team today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

SD vs SF Preview

Last Meeting ( Apr 30, 2025 ) San Francisco 3, San Diego 5

Second place in the National League West -- and possibly first place by the end of the series -- will be on the line when the San Diego Padres and host San Francisco Giants open a four-game showdown Monday night.

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