Tampa Bay @ Houston props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 18th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Chandler Simpson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Chandler Simpson usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. Danny Jansen has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph figure. Danny Jansen has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.34 K/BB rate.

Junior Caminero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Junior Caminero with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Gusto who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. Matt Thaiss's quickness has improved this season. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.41 ft/sec now. Matt Thaiss has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 17th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball batters like Yandy Diaz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Gusto. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Taylor Walls has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Taylor Walls's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) may lead us to conclude that Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side this year with his .184 actual batting average.

The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. In the past two weeks, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 93.5-mph in recent games. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 43.9% to 54.7%.

Jose Altuve's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Yainer Diaz has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.7% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Zachary Dezenzo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Isaac Paredes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shane Baz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.1% seasonal rate to 36.4% over the past two weeks.

Jake Meyers's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Meyers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jake Meyers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 46.7% on the season to 55.6% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Victor Caratini has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Victor Caratini's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 106.2-mph of late.

Mauricio Dubon's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a .274 batting average since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon is ranked in the 85th percentile.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the majors. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Kameron Misner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 9th-best infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. Kameron Misner has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past two weeks.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.