NYM -139 o9.0
BAL +128 u9.0
CHC -111 o9.5
MIN +103 u9.5
NYM -159 o10.0
BAL +146 u10.0
MIA +149 o9.0
CIN -162 u9.0
SEA -114 o9.0
NYY +105 u9.0
TB -101 o9.0
BOS -107 u9.0
CLE -125 o8.5
CHW +115 u8.5
WAS +128 o9.0
STL -139 u9.0
ATL -144 o10.0
ATH +132 u10.0
TEX -110 o10.0
LAA +102 u10.0
AZ -114 o8.5
SD +105 u8.5

Baltimore @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin today.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

David Hamilton
D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan O'Hearn
R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's matchup.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nick Sogard has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Sogard has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Emmanuel Rivera
E. Rivera
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Emmanuel Rivera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 96.3-mph in the past week. In the last week's worth of games, Emmanuel Rivera's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Emmanuel Rivera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 96.3-mph in the past week. In the last week's worth of games, Emmanuel Rivera's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

Abraham Toro Total Hits Props • Boston

Abraham Toro
A. Toro
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Abraham Toro will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Abraham Toro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Abraham Toro will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). When it comes to plate discipline, Jarren Duran's ability is quite bad, putting up a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 22nd percentile.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). When it comes to plate discipline, Jarren Duran's ability is quite bad, putting up a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 22nd percentile.

Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Jackson Holliday
J. Holliday
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitters such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Dobbins who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Jackson Holliday is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Boston (#1-best of all teams on the slate).

Jackson Holliday

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitters such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Dobbins who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Jackson Holliday is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Boston (#1-best of all teams on the slate).

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

Connor Wong
C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Cedric Mullins are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Cedric Mullins are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

Heston Kjerstad Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Heston Kjerstad
H. Kjerstad
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Heston Kjerstad

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ramon Urias
R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ramon Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ramon Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

Kristian Campbell
K. Campbell
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rob Refsnyder pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rob Refsnyder pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Adley Rutschman
A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. In the past week, Ramon Laureano's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.5% up to 28.6%. In the last two weeks, Ramon Laureano's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. In the past week, Ramon Laureano's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.5% up to 28.6%. In the last two weeks, Ramon Laureano's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Ryan Mountcastle
R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Maverick Handley Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Maverick Handley
M. Handley
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Extreme groundball batters like Maverick Handley usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

Maverick Handley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Extreme groundball batters like Maverick Handley usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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