Baltimore @ Boston props

Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hunter Dobbins will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Mountcastle today. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his weak side (0) today against Hunter Dobbins Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Nick Sogard has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Sogard pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). When it comes to plate discipline, Jarren Duran's ability is quite bad, putting up a 3.83 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 22nd percentile.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitters such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Dobbins who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Jackson Holliday is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Boston (#1-best of all teams on the slate).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Cedric Mullins are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Dobbins.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an advantage in today's matchup. Heston Kjerstad has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ramon Urias has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rob Refsnyder pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Abraham Toro will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Emmanuel Rivera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Emmanuel Rivera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 96.3-mph in the past week. In the last week's worth of games, Emmanuel Rivera's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. Trevor Story hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 4th-best venue in baseball for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats. In the past week, Ramon Laureano's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.5% up to 28.6%. In the last two weeks, Ramon Laureano's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest. Extreme groundball batters like Maverick Handley usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Lucas Giolito.