We have a full slate of MLB action as teams wrap up their early week series on Wednesday, which means we can pick anyone we want for our player props today.
I’m looking for New York Mets star Juan Soto to continue his recent production, while Framber Valdez should dominate the Colorado Rockies lineup. I’m also betting on Riley Greene to reach a major milestone for the Detroit Tigers tonight.
Let’s take a closer look at my favorite MLB player props and best bets for Wednesday, August 27.
Best MLB player props today
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Soto o1.5 H/R/R (-135) -
Valdez o6.5 strikeouts (-145) -
Greene o0.5 RBI (+125)
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Our 3 best MLB player props for Wednesday, August 27
Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.
Prop #1: Juan Soto Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs
The New York Mets seem to have finally broken out of their lengthy slide, having won four of their last five against the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies. Importantly, the New York offense has come to life, scoring 8.8 runs per game over its last five contests.
Juan Soto has been at the center of that attack. The offseason acquisition hasn’t been quite as good as Mets fans may have hoped, but his .882 OPS still plays at the heart of any lineup, and he has been getting on base at a .390 clip. He’s also come in Over his total of 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs in each of his last five games.
Soto faces off against Taijuan Walker tonight, which is perfect for him as he has historically dominated all but the best right-handed pitching. Let’s back Soto to continue his productive streak tonight with at least one hit and some sort of run production to go along with it.
- Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBCSP, SNY
Prop #2: Framber Valdez Over 6.5 strikeouts
Framber Valdez is enjoying another strong season for the Houston Astros, going 11-7 with a 3.32 ERA in 25 starts this season. Importantly, he’s one of the most durable and dependable starters in the league, going deep relatively consistently and averaging 6.3 innings per start, including two complete games.
So while Valdez isn’t one of the biggest strikeout pitchers in the league — he’s averaging 8.8 per nine innings — that length means he can compile big numbers by the time he leaves the game. And even though Valdez hasn’t gone 7+ innings since July 22, he’s in an excellent spot to get a lot of strikeouts tonight.
The Colorado Rockies are one of the least threatening lineups in the majors, averaging 3.77 runs per game — and only a putrid 2.97 per game away from home. They’re also second in the majors in strikeouts, averaging 9.3 per game.
Put that together, and not only can we expect the Rockies to strike out their fair share, but they’re highly unlikely to chase Valdez from the game early. In what should be a nice, long outing, I’m taking Valdez to come in Over his strikeout total.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: COLR, SCHN
Prop #3: Riley Greene Over 0.5 RBI
Riley Greene has continued his impressive numbers from 2024, enjoying a second straight All-Star campaign for the Detroit Tigers this year. Sure, there are some worries about his strikeout total — he leads the AL with 168 — but he’s maintained his other baseline numbers, and has been very productive in the center of a talented Detroit lineup, as he has already knocked in 99 runs this year.
After an inconsistent start to August, Greene has picked up the pace again as of late. He has hit safely in five straight games, homering in three of those contests. That’s also led him to pick up seven RBIs during that stretch.
The Athletics are handing the ball to rookie Luis Morales tonight, who has been excellent in his first four appearances, posting a 1.72 ERA in 15.2 innings of work. But the underlying metrics aren’t that outstanding for Morales — he is walking 4.6 batters per nine innings and doesn’t look to have elite strikeout stuff — and he posted a 3.73 ERA in his minor league appearances this year, which makes it look like his hot start in the majors is likely unsustainable.
The Tigers have every chance of getting to Morales tonight, and when they do, we can expect Green to pick up at least one RBI to hit the 100 mark for the first time in his young career.
- Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FDSNDT, NBCSCA
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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