Baltimore @ Boston picks

Baltimore will start either Charlie Morton or Trevor Rogers. The 41-year-old Morton is  a shell of his former self and is 0-7 with a 7.68 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP. He's in the bottom 20th percentile in xERA (5.17), xBA (.274), and hard-hit rate. Rogers struggled in the majors last year and has been getting rocked in the minors this year, posting a 8.10 ERA at Triple-A Norfolk. The Red Sox lead the majors in hard-hit rate, while ranking second in exit velocity and third in barrel rate. They are seventh in OPS (.743) and tend to hit better at home. 

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Hunter Dobbins in the 22nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Dobbins to throw 83 pitches today (5th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Connor Wong (the Red Sox's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a weak pitch framer.. Fenway Park ranks as the #26 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zach Eflin in the 25th percentile when it comes to his strikeout ability.. Fenway Park ranks as the #26 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. The Boston Red Sox have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in this game.. Zach Eflin will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's game.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin today.

Rafael Devers projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game.