San Diego @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team today. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Jackson Merrill has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 19.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Jackson Merrill's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 21.3% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #26 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the last 7 days, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.8% down to 0%.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 85.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 79.9-mph in the past 14 days. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.9-mph average last year has fallen off to 84.6-mph.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #26 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Bo Bichette meets a tough challenge today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, going from 14% on the season to 18.2% over the past 7 days.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Bats such as Daulton Varsho with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Stephen Kolek who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #26 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bowden Francis will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Manny Machado has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Xander Bogaerts has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 91.4-mph.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #26 ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Stephen Kolek will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.7-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 14.5% to 10.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Brandon Lockridge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Brandon Lockridge with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Brandon Lockridge is quite fast, checking in at the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.71 ft/sec this year.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's game. Gavin Sheets's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92-mph now compared to just 87.8-mph then.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. George Springer will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Nathan Lukes will have the handedness advantage against Stephen Kolek today. Nathan Lukes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, putting up a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .063 difference.

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (87% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Stephen Kolek throws from, Addison Barger will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Bats such as Jose Iglesias with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Jose Iglesias has posted a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 19.5° mark over the past two weeks.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Stephen Kolek. Jonatan Clase will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Over the last week, Elias Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 20%. Elias Diaz's launch angle this season (16.4°) is a significant increase over his 7.3° figure last season. Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 45.1% on the season to 64.3% over the past two weeks.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Tyler Heineman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.02 ft/sec this year, Myles Straw is very fast.