Cleveland @ Detroit picks
Comerica Park
CLE vs DET Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Jose Ramirez left the yard in three straight games last week, and while he hasn’t hit a homer since then, Ramirez will like tonight’s matchup. The Detroit Tigers put their trust in Jack Flaherty, who has given up two bombs in 20 at-bats to Ramirez. Seven of Ramirez’s long balls are off right-handed hurlers, and he’s hitting .347 in night games with eight bombs. Flaherty is also having trouble with the homer, surrendering 10 in only nine starts.
Total RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty today.
Total RBIs

Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jose Ramirez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Jack Flaherty today.
Total Bases

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jose Ramirez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jake Rogers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Jake Rogers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. As it relates to his home runs, Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 16.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.2.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jose Ramirez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jose Ramirez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty today.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Carlos Santana o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams today.