Houston @ Tampa Bay props

The #8 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field. Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto. Yandy Diaz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week. Yandy Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 10.3% on the season to 0% in the last week. Ranking in the 20th percentile, Yandy Diaz has posted a .253 BABIP this year.

Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batters such as Victor Caratini with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zack Littell who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Victor Caratini has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last 7 days.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Chas McCormick has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.280) may lead us to conclude that Chas McCormick has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .262 actual wOBA. Chas McCormick grades out in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Despite posting a .276 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Altuve has been unlucky given the .045 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.3°. With a .348 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Isaac Paredes grades out in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Yainer Diaz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme flyball hitters like Yainer Diaz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zack Littell.

Zachary Dezenzo's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Zachary Dezenzo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 91.5-mph. Zachary Dezenzo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 61.2% on the season to 75% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jake Meyers has posted a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 77th percentile. Ranking in the 93rd percentile, Jake Meyers has notched a .309 batting average this year.

Jose Caballero has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Jose Caballero faces a tough challenge today. Jose Caballero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Placing in the 80th percentile, Mauricio Dubon sports a .268 batting average since the start of last season.

The #8 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field. In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field's CF fences are the 5th-deepest. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Jeremy Pena today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.3-mph figure last year has dropped to 88.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Junior Caminero will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Over the past 7 days, Christian Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 28.6%. Christian Walker has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 91.1-mph figure.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Curtis Mead will have a disadvantage in today's game. Curtis Mead has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Taylor Walls will bat from his bad side against Ryan Gusto today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Taylor Walls's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the same side that Ryan Gusto throws from, Christopher Morel encounters a tough challenge today.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ryan Gusto will hold the platoon advantage against Danny Jansen in today's matchup. Typically, hitters like Danny Jansen who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ryan Gusto. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.