New York @ Boston props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 6th-coldest weather on the slate at 55°. Batting from the same side that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Pete Alonso will be in a tough position in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today's game.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 6th-coldest weather on the slate at 55°. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side (0) today against Hunter Dobbins The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among every team today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today. Nick Sogard has had a particularly strong THE BAT X Spray Score in the last 7 days, which measures a hitter's skill in hitting the ball to all fields.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's game. Rafael Devers has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Carlos Narvaez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Carlos Narvaez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 89.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today. Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Jarren Duran is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .244 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256. Tyrone Taylor has put up a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest. In the last week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 16.7%. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 13.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 37.5% to 52.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.65 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92-mph.

Fenway Park ranks as the #5 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins today. Brett Baty has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brett Baty has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 16.9% this season. Brett Baty has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 16.9% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.