Cody Bellinger is off to a strong debut season with the New York Yankees, showcasing both power and consistency at the plate while contributing to the league’s top-scoring offense.
In my Yankees vs. Astros predictions, I expect Bellinger to continue his hot streak in a favorable matchup against Jason Alexander.
Let’s take a closer look at my MLB picks for Wednesday, September 3.
Yankees vs Astros prediction
Yankees vs Astros best bet: Cody Bellinger Over 1.5 total bases (+100)
There’s a lot to like about Cody Bellinger in this matchup. For one, Houston Astros starting pitcher Jason Alexander struggles against left-handed bats. Mightily so.
Alexander has allowed a .271 average to lefties compared to a .237 average vs. righties. Even more notable is the discrepancy between how much power he’s given up.
Alexander has been much, much tougher on righties, giving up 1.1 homers per nine and a very modest .114 ISO. Check one for Bellinger.
Nearly 70% of Alexander’s pitches to lefties are either changeups or sinkers. Bellinger owns a .333 average vs. changeups while hitting .295 — with an ISO over .200 — against the sinker.
Given Alexander’s struggles against lefties and how well Bellinger performs vs. his most common pitches, there’s a good chance Bellinger hits for power Wednesday night.
Yankees vs Astros same-game parlay (SGP)
Alexander has a difficult time slowing left-handed bats down and it’s possible, if not likely, Bellinger hits behind a couple of lefties (Trent Grisham, Ben Rice) as well as a generational talent in Aaron Judge. There should be plenty of traffic on the basepaths, giving Bellinger opportunities to cash in.
Yordan Alvarez is also in a good spot to make noise offensively. Yankees starter Will Warren has allowed homers to lefties at twice the rate of righties. He has also performed much worse in road starts.
Yankees vs Astros odds
- Moneyline: New York -125 | Houston +105
- Run line: New York -1.5 (+130) | Houston +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Yankees vs Astros trend
Cody Bellinger has averaged 2.4 total bases over his last 10 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Astros.
How to watch Yankees vs Astros and game info
Location | Daikin Park, Houston, TX |
Date | Wednesday, September 3, 2025 |
First pitch | 8:10 p.m. ET |
TV | Amazon Prime Video, Space City Home Network |
Yankees starting pitcher | Will Warren (8-6, 4.30 ERA) |
Astros starting pitcher | Jason Alexander (4-1, 4.61 ERA) |
Yankees vs Astros latest injuries
Yankees vs Astros weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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