New York @ Boston picks

The Red Sox have dropped five of their past six, and the Mets have a huge pitching advantage tonight. Hunter Dobbins has been roughed up by the only strong offenses he’s faced, and New York sports a seventh-ranked .327 wOBA and eighth-ranked .171 ISO against right-handed hurlers. Mets righty Kodai Senga is dealing, too. He's allowed two runs or fewer in each of his past eight starts to show off a sterling 1.02 ERA for the campaign.

Juan Soto faces young righty Hunter Dobbins to the bump, who has been prone to the long ball lately, allowing a homer in three of his last four outings. Seven of Soto's eight homers are off RHP. On top of that, five of his bombs have come on the road. Soto had a rough weekend in the Bronx, and he’ll be in a position to break out here. 

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.. In the last week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 16.7%.. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 13.9% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's game.. Rafael Devers has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

When assessing his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.. Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's game.. Rafael Devers has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's game.. Rafael Devers has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park.. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Carlos Narvaez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Carlos Narvaez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 89.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all parks, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 9th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.