Tampa Bay @ Miami props

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara.

Ronny Simon will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.9 ft/sec this year, Ronny Simon is quite athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 23.8% this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jonathan Aranda has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jonathan Aranda's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 56.7% on the season to 71.4% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Junior Caminero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Junior Caminero has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph EV.

Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Matt Mervis will hold that advantage today.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Danny Jansen are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. In the last 14 days, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph recently. Compared to last year, Danny Jansen has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.4% to 19.7% this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Danny Jansen's true offensive talent to be a .316, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .035 disparity between that figure and his actual .281 wOBA. Danny Jansen has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 96th percentile with a 1.32 K/BB rate.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Brandon Lowe will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Lowe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jesus Sanchez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (14°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.3° mark last year.

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 17th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Connor Norby will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 20%. In the past week's worth of games, Connor Norby's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage in today's game. Javier Sanoja has been unlucky this year, compiling a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .036 disparity.

Jose Caballero has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 88.3-mph. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 43.9% to 53.7%. With a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Caballero is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

Chandler Simpson's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an advantage in today's game. Chandler Simpson will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP. Chandler Simpson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nick Fortes has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph figure. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 11.6% to 21.9%.

Derek Hill's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) implies that Derek Hill has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average. Derek Hill's 11.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Derek Hill's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to evaluate power) has been 112.3 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Agustin Ramirez will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week's worth of games. Agustin Ramirez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 94.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Kameron Misner is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Kameron Misner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kameron Misner will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.8°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.3° mark in the last week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.294) suggests that Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck this year with his .249 actual wOBA. As it relates to plate discipline, Taylor Walls's ability is quite strong, sporting a 1.97 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 78th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.