Tampa Bay @ Miami picks
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TB vs MIA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 23.8% this year.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage today.. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jonathan Aranda has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Jonathan Aranda's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 56.7% on the season to 71.4% over the past two weeks.
Total RBIs

Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 17th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill.. Connor Norby is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Connor Norby will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Over the past week, Connor Norby's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 20%.. In the past week's worth of games, Connor Norby's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.. Brandon Lowe will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Brandon Lowe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Mervis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Matt Mervis will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Matt Mervis will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 23.8% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today.. Brandon Lowe will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.. Brandon Lowe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 89.8-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Nick Fortes has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph figure.. Nick Fortes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 11.6% to 21.9%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ronny Simon o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ronny Simon will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.9 ft/sec this year, Ronny Simon is quite athletic.
Total Bases

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jesus Sanchez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (14°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.3° mark last year.