Miami @ Chicago props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

Dane Myers
D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hitters such as Dane Myers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Burke who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Dane Myers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks. Dane Myers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 97-mph.

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hitters such as Dane Myers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Burke who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Dane Myers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks. Dane Myers has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 97-mph.

Javier Sanoja Total Hits Props • Miami

Javier Sanoja
J. Sanoja
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Extreme flyball bats like Javier Sanoja tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Burke.

Javier Sanoja

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Extreme flyball bats like Javier Sanoja tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Burke.

Brooks Baldwin Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Brooks Baldwin
B. Baldwin
left outfield LF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Brooks Baldwin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Brooks Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Brooks Baldwin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami

Connor Norby
C. Norby
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Connor Norby has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.4° angle in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, Connor Norby is in the 77th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .324. Connor Norby's 13.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Connor Norby

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Connor Norby has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.4° angle in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, Connor Norby is in the 77th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .324. Connor Norby's 13.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Edgar Quero Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Edgar Quero
E. Quero
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Edgar Quero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edgar Quero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Edgar Quero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Edgar Quero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edgar Quero is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Rojas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Josh Rojas
J. Rojas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Rojas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Josh Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Rojas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game.

Eric Wagaman Total Hits Props • Miami

Eric Wagaman
E. Wagaman
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.

Eric Wagaman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.

Jesus Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

Jesus Sanchez
J. Sanchez
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jesus Sanchez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Burke.

Jesus Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jesus Sanchez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Burke.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami

Kyle Stowers
K. Stowers
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today. Kyle Stowers has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last year to 20.7% this season. Kyle Stowers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 20.7% seasonal rate to 26.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today. Kyle Stowers has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last year to 20.7% this season. Kyle Stowers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 20.7% seasonal rate to 26.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

Xavier Edwards
X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Xavier Edwards's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his good side against Sean Burke in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bats such as Xavier Edwards with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Burke who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Xavier Edwards's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his good side against Sean Burke in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bats such as Xavier Edwards with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Burke who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Chase Meidroth Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Chase Meidroth
C. Meidroth
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Chase Meidroth has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.9-mph EV.

Chase Meidroth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Chase Meidroth will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Chase Meidroth has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.9-mph EV.

Agustin Ramirez Total Hits Props • Miami

Agustin Ramirez
A. Ramirez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Agustin Ramirez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph. Over the last week, Agustin Ramirez's 52.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%. Agustin Ramirez has been hot of late, notching a a 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) in the past 7 days.

Agustin Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Agustin Ramirez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph. Over the last week, Agustin Ramirez's 52.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%. Agustin Ramirez has been hot of late, notching a a 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) in the past 7 days.

Matt Thaiss Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Matt Thaiss
M. Thaiss
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Matt Thaiss has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Thaiss

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Matt Thaiss has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Mervis Total Hits Props • Miami

Matt Mervis
M. Mervis
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup. Matt Mervis pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Matt Mervis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 35.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.

Matt Mervis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup. Matt Mervis pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Matt Mervis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 35.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Lenyn Sosa
L. Sosa
second base 2B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph in recent games.

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Lenyn Sosa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Lenyn Sosa's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph in recent games.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Joshua Palacios
J. Palacios
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Joshua Palacios will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Joshua Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Joshua Palacios has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 19% in the past 14 days.

Joshua Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball. Joshua Palacios will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Joshua Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Joshua Palacios has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 19% in the past 14 days.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Miguel Vargas
M. Vargas
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.80
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Miguel Vargas has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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