Miami @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
MIA vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Dane Myers o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Dane Myers is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Hitters such as Dane Myers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Burke who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Dane Myers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks.
Total RBIs

Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Connor Norby has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.4° angle in the last week's worth of games.. In terms of his home runs, Connor Norby has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.5.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Mervis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Matt Mervis will have an edge in today's matchup.. Matt Mervis pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Over the last 14 days, Matt Mervis has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 35.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.4°.
Total Bases

Eric Wagaman o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eric Wagaman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.
Total Bases

Agustin Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Agustin Ramirez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph.. Over the last week, Agustin Ramirez's 52.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nick Fortes pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brooks Baldwin o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.. Brooks Baldwin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Connor Norby o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for overall right-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.4°, Connor Norby has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.4° angle in the last week's worth of games.. In terms of his home runs, Connor Norby has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.5.