St. Louis @ Washington props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 4th-worst stadium in MLB for LHB batting average. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brendan Donovan in today's game. Brendan Donovan has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 82.7-mph in the last 7 days. In the past 7 days, Brendan Donovan's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 56.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. James Wood is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. James Wood will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Williams in today's matchup... and even better, Williams has a large platoon split. Victor Scott II has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Victor Scott II and his 17.6% rank in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Lars Nootbaar will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.

Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Nolan Gorman's launch angle this year (23.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 20.4° figure last season. Nolan Gorman's launch angle in recent games (53.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 23.9° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.313) may lead us to conclude that Nolan Gorman has suffered from bad luck this year with his .265 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. CJ Abrams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Dylan Crews has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Dylan Crews's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.4%. Dylan Crews has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .240 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Alec Burleson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 92.8-mph over the past 14 days. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 9% on the season to 26.7% in the last week.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Andre Pallante today. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Alex Call is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Alex Call's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.1% up to 8.3%. Alex Call has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.5-mph mark.

Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Bell has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97-mph average to last season's 92.8-mph mark. Josh Bell has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 97-mph. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (36.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 19.3° seasonal angle.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Willson Contreras has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Willson Contreras has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week. This season, Willson Contreras has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.8 mph compared to last year's 95.1 mph mark.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today. Jose Tena has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Jose Tena has put up a .332 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jordan Walker's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker's true offensive skill to be a .308, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .065 difference between that mark and his actual .243 wOBA.

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jacob Young has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 90.7-mph in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Jacob Young has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: -0.4° compared to his seasonal mark of -6.1°. Jacob Young has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .249 BA is considerably lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 92.1-mph of late. By putting up a 0.97 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Amed Rosario has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games. Amed Rosario has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph EV.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Posting a .273 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Masyn Winn is positioned in the 85th percentile. In notching a .266 batting average since the start of last season, Masyn Winn has performed in the 79th percentile.

Yohel Pozo has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.