St. Louis @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
STL vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter.. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Nolan Gorman's launch angle this year (23.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 20.4° figure last season.. Nolan Gorman's launch angle in recent games (53.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 23.9° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs

Brendan Donovan o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Brendan Donovan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Brendan Donovan will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Brendan Donovan has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 45.8% to 56.8%.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.. James Wood has big-time HR ability (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The 7th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park.. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Lars Nootbaar will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.
Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The 7th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park.. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Lars Nootbaar will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter.. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Nolan Gorman's launch angle this year (23.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 20.4° figure last season.. Nolan Gorman's launch angle in recent games (53.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 23.9° seasonal angle.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The 7th-shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Nationals Park.. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Lars Nootbaar will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Lars Nootbaar has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.4-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.. James Wood has big-time HR ability (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante struggles to strike batters out (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Outs Recorded

Andre Pallante o15.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Projection 17.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Washington Nationals offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the league this year.. The #7 park in MLB for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which tends to lead to less offense.. Given that flyball pitchers hold a notable edge over flyball batters, Andre Pallante and his 59.8% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today's outing squaring off against 5 opposing FB batters.. Andre Pallante turned in a great performance in his last outing and allowed 2 ER.
Total Bases

Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split.. Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Alec Burleson has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 92.8-mph over the past 14 days.. Alec Burleson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 9% on the season to 26.7% in the last week.