Coors Field
Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.9-mph average last year has fallen off to 89.6-mph. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 47.2% to 23.3%.
Hitting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Gavin Sheets has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Gavin Sheets has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time. Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Gavin Sheets has been lucky this year, compiling a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .038 difference.
Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Alan Trejo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.226) suggests that Alan Trejo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .175 actual wOBA.
Batting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jordan Beck faces a tough challenge today. Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has been lucky given the .067 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300. Jordan Beck has notched a .220 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 5.21 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jordan Beck has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 18th percentile. With a .195 batting average since the start of last season, Jordan Beck finds himself in the 4th percentile.
Randy Vasquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle today. Brenton Doyle has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week. Brenton Doyle has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph dropping to 84.3-mph in the last week. Brenton Doyle has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile with a 3.61 K/BB rate.
Batting from the same side that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Xander Bogaerts will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 12.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days. Using Statcast data, Xander Bogaerts grades out in the 25th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .290.
Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Hunter Goodman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph figure.
The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Mickey Moniak has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 22.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°.
Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Kyle Farmer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill. Luis Arraez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Luis Arraez will have an edge in today's matchup.
Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Martin Maldonado's 17.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 80th percentile.
The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Adael Amador tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. Adael Amador will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Adael Amador has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4% seasonal rate to 10% in the last 14 days.
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage over Antonio Senzatela in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. In terms of his batting average, Jason Heyward has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .207 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .229.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The #1 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Nick Martini will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nick Martini will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Checking in at the 95th percentile, Fernando Tatis Jr. has notched a .405 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Jose Iglesias has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
