Chicago @ New York props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Dansby Swanson's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a considerable increase over his 10.2° mark last year. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 44.6% on the season to 69.2% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Seiya Suzuki has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.5% rate last year to 17.6% this year.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Carson Kelly hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Carson Kelly has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last season to 19.7% this season. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.8 mph compared to last year's 91.4 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Clay Holmes. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best batter in the game. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Using Statcast metrics, Jon Berti grades out in the 84th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .266. Checking in at the 91st percentile, Jon Berti sports a .279 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Nico Hoerner has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 89.7-mph over the past two weeks. Nico Hoerner has recorded a .291 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Starling Marte's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Extreme flyball hitters like Starling Marte usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Francisco Alvarez has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball over the last 7 days — 115-mph — which is a strong measure of recent form and raw power. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Francisco Alvarez has put up a .312 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luisangel Acuna in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Luisangel Acuna hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. Bats such as Luisangel Acuna with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jameson Taillon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Luisangel Acuna will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Luisangel Acuna has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 86.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 82.7-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Michael Busch is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Mark Vientos has posted a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season. Sporting a .312 BABIP since the start of last season, Mark Vientos grades out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 19.7% this season.

Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Tyrone Taylor has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .246 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Tyrone Taylor has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game. Brett Baty has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Brett Baty generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jameson Taillon. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Brett Baty has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 5.5% rate last season to 11.6% this season.

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today. Compared to last season, Jeff McNeil has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.9% to 46.7% this season. Jeff McNeil has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile with a 1.9 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game. Francisco Lindor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.5-mph figure.

Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes in today's game. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nicky Lopez can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. When it comes to plate discipline, Nicky Lopez's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 86th percentile.

Miguel Amaya has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.