Chicago @ New York picks

While the New York Mets superstar has just two long balls in his last seven games, he faces a favorable matchup against Chicago Cubs right-hander Jameson Taillon. The Mets first baseman has already hit a home run off Taillon before, and seven of Alonso’s nine homers have come against right-handed pitchers. The slugger has always swung it well against the Cubs with 15 bombs in just 34 appearances, so this bet is worth a look at Citi Field.

The Cubs have a productive offense but have gotten off to slow starts, scoring a run in the first inning at the fourth-lowest rate in the majors (23.7%). The Mets are tied with them in that metric and will face veteran Jameson Taillon today. Taillon hasn't allowed a single run while pitching to an OBA of .125 in the first inning this year. The Mets respond with Clay Holmes who has impressed in his first year as a starter. Holmes has a 2.94 ERA with an xERA of 2.99 through seven starts.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.. Seiya Suzuki has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.5% rate last year to 17.6% this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best batter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today.. Francisco Alvarez has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball over the last 7 days — 115-mph — which is a strong measure of recent form and raw power.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 19.7% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.. Dansby Swanson's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a considerable increase over his 10.2° mark last year.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 44.6% on the season to 69.2% in the past week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best batter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game.. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 19.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.. Seiya Suzuki has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.5% rate last year to 17.6% this year.