St. Louis @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde.

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Victor Scott II
V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Victor Scott II grades out in the 77th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Victor Scott II grades out in the 77th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Lars Nootbaar
L. Nootbaar
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Lars Nootbaar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.2% to 50%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.382) provides evidence that Lars Nootbaar has experienced some negative variance this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. Lars Nootbaar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.2% to 50%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.382) provides evidence that Lars Nootbaar has experienced some negative variance this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Bell has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Bell has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph figure. Josh Bell has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 97-mph.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Bell has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Bell has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph figure. Josh Bell has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 97-mph.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Brendan Donovan
B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Brendan Donovan has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.8% to 57.9%. In notching a .337 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Brendan Donovan is positioned in the 100th percentile.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Brendan Donovan has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.8% to 57.9%. In notching a .337 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Brendan Donovan is positioned in the 100th percentile.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde.

Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage over Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Jose Tena has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Tena usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Jose Tena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage over Erick Fedde in today's matchup. Jose Tena has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Tena usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Jose Tena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde today. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn
M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Masyn Winn will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (19.2°) is quite a bit better than his 13° figure last season.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Masyn Winn will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (19.2°) is quite a bit better than his 13° figure last season.

Dylan Crews Total Hits Props • Washington

Dylan Crews
D. Crews
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Dylan Crews has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage today. In the last 14 days, Dylan Crews's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.4%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck this year. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

Dylan Crews

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Dylan Crews has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage today. In the last 14 days, Dylan Crews's 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.4%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck this year. His .245 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Willson Contreras
W. Contreras
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage in today's game. Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Willson Contreras has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.6 mph compared to last year's 95.1 mph mark.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Willson Contreras will have an advantage in today's game. Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. This season, Willson Contreras has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.6 mph compared to last year's 95.1 mph mark.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado
N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge in today's game. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 92.1-mph in recent games. By putting up a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 85th percentile.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge in today's game. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 92.1-mph in recent games. By putting up a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nolan Arenado has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 85th percentile.

Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Pedro Pages
P. Pages
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game.

Pedro Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Erick Fedde in today's game. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Erick Fedde in today's game. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Jacob Young generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jacob Young's launch angle of late (3.7° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his -2.1° seasonal mark. Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .250 BA is quite a bit lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Jacob Young generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Jacob Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jacob Young's launch angle of late (3.7° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his -2.1° seasonal mark. Jacob Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .250 BA is quite a bit lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jordan Walker
J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Jordan Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 14 days. In the last two weeks, Jordan Walker's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Jordan Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 14 days. In the last two weeks, Jordan Walker's 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ivan Herrera
I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage in today's game. Posting a .373 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ivan Herrera has performed in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. In notching a .305 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 98th percentile.

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In MLB, Nationals Park's left field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Ivan Herrera will have an advantage in today's game. Posting a .373 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ivan Herrera has performed in the 98th percentile for offensive skills. In notching a .305 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ivan Herrera finds himself in the 98th percentile.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington

Amed Rosario
A. Rosario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Amed Rosario has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Amed Rosario are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Amed Rosario has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Amed Rosario are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Erick Fedde. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast