Detroit @ Colorado Picks & Props

DET vs COL Picks

MLB Picks
Walks Allowed
Kyle Freeland logo Kyle Freeland o1.5 Walks Allowed (+160)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Let’s attack the doubleheader first. Kyle Freeland will need to pitch a little more than usual as the Game 1 starter in front of an awful Colorado Rockies bullpen. He projects for nearly 18 outs so he will see plenty of batters. The last time I bet on a Colorado pitcher in a doubleheader was German Marquez, who had to eat some extra outs despite pitching poorly. THE BAT projects this as one of the best +EV walk props today and the lefty has hit this Over in two of his last four starts after some unsustainable walk rates to begin the year with zero free passes issued across his first three starts.

Total Home Runs
Spencer Torkelson logo Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+295)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Six of Spencer Torkelson's 10 homers have come on the road, and he’s also gone deep five times against lefties. The Rockies send Kyle Freeland to the mound for the first game of this doubleheader. He has an ERA over five (8.53 at Coors) and two of his three homers surrendered have come at home in just 12 2/3 innings. 

Outs Recorded
Kyle Freeland logo Kyle Freeland u17.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Kyle Freeland has been roughed up this season to the tune of an 8.53 ERA across a pair of home starts, and he’ll face a strong Detroit lineup this afternoon. The Detroit Tigers enter with a fifth-ranked .345 wOBA and fourth-ranked .194 ISO against southpaws for the campaign. Plus, the soft-tossing lefty has pitched fewer than six frames in three of his past four starts, and he’s allowing a healthy 42.1% hard-hit rate and sports negative pitch values on two of his three most frequent offerings, per FanGraphs.

Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.. Extreme flyball batters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.
Total RBIs
Michael Toglia logo
Michael Toglia o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Michael Toglia has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (32.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Casey Mize is a pitch-to-contact type (4th percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Kerry Carpenter may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Kerry Carpenter has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Kerry Carpenter may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Kerry Carpenter has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.. Extreme flyball batters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Kerry Carpenter may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.. Kerry Carpenter has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Zach McKinstry logo
Zach McKinstry u1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 1.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage against Zach McKinstry in today's game.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today.. Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Zach McKinstry has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Riley Greene has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
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DET vs COL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

79% picking Detroit

79%
21%

Total PicksDET 627, COL 169

Moneyline
DET
COL
Moneyline
Total

67% picking Detroit vs Colorado to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksDET 312, COL 156

Total
Over
Under

DET vs COL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Javier Baez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Typically, batters like Javier Baez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Freeland. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Javier Baez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Typically, batters like Javier Baez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Freeland. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today.

Justyn-Henry Malloy Total Hits Props • Detroit

Justyn-Henry Malloy
J. Malloy
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justyn-Henry Malloy today. Justyn-Henry Malloy's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.3-mph figure last year has fallen off to 90.7-mph. Posting a .288 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Justyn-Henry Malloy has performed in the 23rd percentile.

Justyn-Henry Malloy logo

Justyn-Henry Malloy

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justyn-Henry Malloy today. Justyn-Henry Malloy's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.3-mph figure last year has fallen off to 90.7-mph. Posting a .288 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Justyn-Henry Malloy has performed in the 23rd percentile.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Gleyber Torres has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .262 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Gleyber Torres has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .262 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .245.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Kerry Carpenter may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Kerry Carpenter has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Kerry Carpenter may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Kerry Carpenter has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Andy Ibanez
A. Ibanez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andy Ibanez in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Andy Ibanez has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .241 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .216. Andy Ibanez has put up a .279 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andy Ibanez logo

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andy Ibanez in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Andy Ibanez has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .241 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .216. Andy Ibanez has put up a .279 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 42% on the season to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.196) may lead us to conclude that Spencer Torkelson has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 42% on the season to 14.3% in the past week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.196) may lead us to conclude that Spencer Torkelson has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .223 actual batting average.

Mickey Moniak Total Hits Props • Colorado

Mickey Moniak
M. Moniak
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball batters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Mickey Moniak logo

Mickey Moniak

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball batters like Mickey Moniak tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

Brenton Doyle
B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge today. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 13.6% on the season to 9.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Brenton Doyle has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile with a 3.61 K/BB rate.

Brenton Doyle logo

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge today. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 13.6% on the season to 9.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Brenton Doyle has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 23rd percentile with a 3.61 K/BB rate.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Dillon Dingler has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 86.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Dillon Dingler has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph dropping to 86.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage against Zach McKinstry in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Zach McKinstry has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage against Zach McKinstry in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Zach McKinstry will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Zach McKinstry has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jordan Beck
J. Beck
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Jordan Beck encounters a tough challenge today. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, compiling a .374 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .074 disparity. When it comes to plate discipline, Jordan Beck's ability is quite poor, posting a 5.11 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 18th percentile. Checking in at the 23rd percentile, Jordan Beck sports a .195 batting average since the start of last season.

Jordan Beck logo

Jordan Beck

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Jordan Beck encounters a tough challenge today. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, compiling a .374 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .074 disparity. When it comes to plate discipline, Jordan Beck's ability is quite poor, posting a 5.11 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 18th percentile. Checking in at the 23rd percentile, Jordan Beck sports a .195 batting average since the start of last season.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Hunter Goodman
H. Goodman
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Hunter Goodman encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Hunter Goodman has struggled with his Barrel%; his 12.8% rate last season has decreased to 7.3% this year. Over the last 7 days, Hunter Goodman's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

Hunter Goodman logo

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Hunter Goodman encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Hunter Goodman has struggled with his Barrel%; his 12.8% rate last season has decreased to 7.3% this year. Over the last 7 days, Hunter Goodman's 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Trey Sweeney has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Trey Sweeney has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past week. Over the past week, Trey Sweeney's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

Trey Sweeney logo

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Trey Sweeney has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Trey Sweeney has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past week. Over the past week, Trey Sweeney's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Ryan McMahon logo

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

Michael Toglia
M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Michael Toglia logo

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Riley Greene has a tough challenge today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Riley Greene in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.307) suggests that Riley Greene has had some very good luck this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 7th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate. Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Riley Greene has a tough challenge today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Riley Greene in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.307) suggests that Riley Greene has had some very good luck this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

Adael Amador Total Hits Props • Colorado

Adael Amador
A. Amador
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Adael Amador will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Adael Amador logo

Adael Amador

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Adael Amador will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Alan Trejo Total Hits Props • Colorado

Alan Trejo
A. Trejo
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alan Trejo will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Alan Trejo has posted a 26.8° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Alan Trejo logo

Alan Trejo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alan Trejo will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Alan Trejo has posted a 26.8° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Colorado

Kyle Farmer
K. Farmer
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Farmer logo

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today.

Nick Martini Total Hits Props • Colorado

Nick Martini
N. Martini
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Nick Martini will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Nick Martini will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nick Martini logo

Nick Martini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Nick Martini will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Nick Martini will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jacob Stallings
J. Stallings
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 45.8% to 63.6%.

Jacob Stallings logo

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage today. Jacob Stallings's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 45.8% to 63.6%.

Tomas Nido Total Hits Props • Detroit

Tomas Nido
T. Nido
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Tomas Nido will have an advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tomas Nido has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .247 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302. Since the start of last season, Tomas Nido's 10.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers.

Tomas Nido logo

Tomas Nido

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Tomas Nido will have an advantage today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tomas Nido has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .247 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302. Since the start of last season, Tomas Nido's 10.5% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
All Tigers Money Leaders

Colorado Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 7-2-1 +28415
2 leafs126 8-2-0 +28005
3 adgadg222 8-2-0 +26815
4 lusvegasluva 4-6-0 +23010
5 Dogface253 7-2-1 +22855
6 moneyformo 7-3-0 +21495
7 ND21 9-1-0 +21105
8 Hoosier 7-2-1 +20260
9 fishercz 8-1-1 +19955
10 simoncald 9-1-0 +19655
All Rockies Money Leaders
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