Toronto @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Extreme groundball bats like Daulton Varsho generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Yusei Kikuchi. Daulton Varsho has been hot lately, posting a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the last 7 days. Daulton Varsho has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° 50% of the time over the past week. Daulton Varsho's 24.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 100th percentile.

Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the last 7 days, Bo Bichette's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 93.4 mph to 90.8 mph. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 52.4% on the season to 26.3% over the past 7 days. Bo Bichette has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 21st percentile with a 4 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Zach Neto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Zach Neto has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.5% rate last year to 16.7% this season. Zach Neto has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.5-mph average to last year's 94.5-mph figure.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Yusei Kikuchi) in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Anthony Santander tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Yusei Kikuchi. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.227) implies that Anthony Santander has had bad variance on his side this year with his .180 actual batting average.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Kyren Paris will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyren Paris's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 19.6% on the season to 28.6% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.211) implies that Kyren Paris has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .179 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Considering Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Ernie Clement will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Ernie Clement's launch angle this year (23.7°) is a significant increase over his 16.2° mark last year. Ernie Clement's launch angle lately (29.8° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 23.7° seasonal figure. Ernie Clement has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .237 rate is deflated compared to his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Berrios. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Taylor Ward has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Yoan Moncada's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Berrios. Yoan Moncada will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Yoan Moncada's quickness has gotten better this season. His 26.81 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.59 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jorge Soler has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.6% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past 7 days. In the past 7 days, Jorge Soler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Logan O'Hoppe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage today. Logan O'Hoppe has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12% rate last year to 20.6% this year. Logan O'Hoppe has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 20.6% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Because of Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, George Springer will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. In the last 7 days, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.2% up to 28.6%. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.6°, George Springer has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 33.2° mark in the past two weeks.

Travis d'Arnaud will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Travis d'Arnaud's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 41.4% to 50%. Travis d'Arnaud's quickness has increased this season. His 25.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.23 ft/sec now. Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 88th percentile at 95 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Because of Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Over the past 7 days, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 25%. Alejandro Kirk has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.7-mph in the last week.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 14.5% to 9.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Nolan Schanuel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Nolan Schanuel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Nolan Schanuel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 90.2-mph over the past week.

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.8% to 19.4%. In the past week's worth of games, Andres Gimenez's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.4%. When it comes to his batting average, Andres Gimenez has been unlucky this year. His .192 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .252.

Considering Yusei Kikuchi's large platoon split, Myles Straw will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.78 ft/sec this year, Myles Straw is very toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Luis Rengifo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Luis Rengifo has been unlucky this year, posting a .232 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .062 gap. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Luis Rengifo has posted a .282 batting average since the start of last season.

Jo Adell has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.