Texas @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
TEX vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Nathan Eovaldi o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-140)
Eovaldi was a reliable part of Boston's rotation for almost half a decade. He joined the Rangers in 2023 and is currently in the midst of a career-best season. He has pitched to a 2.11 ERA with an MLB-best 0.77 WHIP through seven starts. Eovaldi has fanned 7+ batters in five of seven starts this year, including each of his last three outings. He's in the top 20th percentile in strikeout rate (28.2%) and the top 25th percentile in whiff rate (28.6%). The Red Sox have a productive offense but don't always make contact. They strike out at the seventh-highest rate in the majors (23.3%) and rank 28th in whiff rate (27.9%). I love the Over 5.5 strikeouts for Eovaldi and also like the 7+ strikeouts milestone at +140.