Arizona @ Philadelphia props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Alek Thomas has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Alek Thomas generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Tim Tawa will have an advantage today. Tim Tawa has been hot of late, posting a a 15.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Gabriel Moreno will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.364) may lead us to conclude that Ketel Marte has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .392 actual wOBA. Ketel Marte's 9.5° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the league: 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Eugenio Suarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jorge Barrosa has been lifting the ball well of late, notching a 26.7° launch angle in the past 7 days.

When estimating his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Max Kepler may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13% to 21.9%. In the last 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo's 53.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.8%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Cal Stevenson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Cal Stevenson has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Cal Stevenson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Randal Grichuk will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Johan Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph average.